

ASML Holding NV and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) have developed methods to remotely disable their advanced chipmaking machines if China invades Taiwan. This capability is part of a contingency plan given the strategic importance of Taiwan in global semiconductor production. U.S. officials have discussed the potential repercussions of Chinese aggression with Dutch and Taiwanese authorities, highlighting the geopolitical sensitivities surrounding Taiwan's semiconductor industry. The technology, particularly ASML's EUV machines, is crucial for producing high-end chips used in various sensitive applications, including military technologies.

U.S. government officials have expressed concerns to their Dutch and Taiwanese counterparts about the potential for Chinese aggression escalating into an attack on Taiwan6. This anxiety stems from Taiwan's critical role in producing the majority of the world's advanced semiconductors. The U.S. fears that an invasion could disrupt the global supply chain for these essential components, which are used in a variety of applications, including sensitive military technologies. The officials discussed scenarios and preparedness measures, including the ability of ASML Holding NV and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) to disable sophisticated chipmaking machines remotely if an invasion occurs. This capability is seen as a strategic measure to prevent advanced technology from falling into Chinese hands should they gain control of Taiwan.

The prohibition of ASML, a Netherlands-based company, from selling its advanced Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines to China has significant implications for both the global semiconductor industry and geopolitical relations. EUV machines are crucial for manufacturing the smallest and most sophisticated microchips, which are essential for a wide range of modern technologies, including artificial intelligence and military applications.
Firstly, this restriction directly impacts China's ability to develop and produce cutting-edge semiconductor technology domestically. Without access to the most advanced tools like the EUV lithography machines, Chinese semiconductor manufacturers must rely on less advanced technologies, which could slow the progress of China's tech industry and its goals for technological self-sufficiency5.
Secondly, the ban reflects and contributes to the broader technological rivalry between the United States and China. The U.S. government has expressed concerns that allowing China access to such advanced technology could give it a significant strategic advantage, particularly in sectors involving national security. By prohibiting the sale of these machines, the Netherlands, aligning with U.S. policies, plays a crucial role in the strategy to limit China's technological and military capabilities.
Furthermore, this action can strain diplomatic relations between the Netherlands (and by extension, the European Union) and China. China has criticized these restrictions, viewing them as impediments to its development rights and as part of broader geopolitical containment strategies. This tension highlights the complex interplay between global trade, national security, and international diplomacy in the high-tech sector.