
According to the IEA's latest medium-term market report titled Oil 2024, oil demand is projected to reach its peak at near 106 million barrels per day by 2030.

The International Energy Agency warned that the projected surplus in oil supply could have "significant consequences" for oil markets, including impacts on the U.S. shale industry and producer economies in OPEC and beyond. The IEA also advised oil companies to ensure their business strategies and plans are prepared for the changes taking place due to the major supply surplus emerging this decade.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts that the total oil production capacity will surge to nearly 114 million barrels per day by 2030. In contrast, the projected global oil demand for the same year is expected to peak at near 106 million barrels per day6. This means that the production capacity is approximately 8 million barrels per day higher than the anticipated demand. Such a significant surplus could have major consequences for oil markets, including the U.S. shale industry and producer economies in OPEC and beyond.