
Grocery inflation is slowing due to a combination of factors, including lower ingredient prices, increased competition among retailers, and consumers becoming more price-sensitive and opting for promotional pricing. Additionally, food producers have started to offer discounts and adjust their product offerings to cater to budget-conscious shoppers.

Consumer behaviors have changed regarding grocery prices as a result of inflation and economic pressures. Shoppers are becoming more frugal, with six behaviors strongly connected to frugality observed over a five-month period1. These include efforts to economize, such as reducing food waste and buying only essentials, and making trade-offs, like switching to cheaper protein sources and choosing less expensive ingredients. Consumers are also more likely to buy private-label goods and seek out deals and promotions.

The pandemic has significantly impacted grocery item prices, causing an overall increase of 18% since 2020 due to supply chain disruptions, shifts in consumer demand, and inflation. However, recent reports show prices leveling off, with some key budget items like fruits, vegetables, cereals, and bakery products experiencing decreases.