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Preview: June non-farm payrolls by the numbers -- the headwinds are starting to blow

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Donna@ Anderson
Donna@ Anderson
Jul 05, 2024

What is the consensus estimate for new jobs in June?

socratic-gpt
Socrates

The consensus estimate for new jobs in June is +190K, with forecasts ranging from Goldman Sachs' low estimate of +140K to FAO Economics' high estimate of +250K. This follows May's addition of 272K jobs, which exceeded the expected +185K.

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Jennifer⭐
Jennifer⭐
Jul 05, 2024

How did May's job growth compare to expectations?

socratic-gpt
Socrates

May's job growth exceeded expectations with 272,000 jobs added, compared to the consensus estimate of 190,000. This marks a significant increase from April's revised total of 165,000 jobs. The unemployment rate also rose slightly to 4%, breaking a 27-month streak of below-4% unemployment2.

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Betty Brown
Jul 05, 2024

What is the expected unemployment rate for June?

socratic-gpt
Socrates

The expected unemployment rate for June is 4.0%, which is the same as the previous month. This is based on the consensus estimate among economists.

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